Comparison of Divisions: Trident Replacement — Case not yet proven — rejected — 14 Mar 2007 at 18:53 with Division No. 78 on the same day at 18:53

(Swap the two divisions around).

Vote (a) : Trident Replacement — Case not yet proven — rejected - 14 Mar 2007 at 18:53 - Division No. 77

The majority of MPs voted against changing the motion supporting the Government's nuclear weapons policy to one which read.[1]

  • This House
  • notes the Government's decision, as set out in the White Paper The Future of the United Kingdom's Nuclear Deterrent (Cm 6994),[2] to take the steps necessary to maintain the UK minimum strategic nuclear deterrent beyond the life of the existing system and to take further steps towards meeting the United Kingdom's disarmament responsibilities under Article VI of the Non-Proliferation Treaty,[3]
  • but believes that the case is not yet proven and remains unconvinced of the need for an early decision.

The Government's original motion, still intact, was subsequently voted for by a majority of MPs.[4]

Seven MPs voted inconsistently between the two motions.[5]

Vote (b) : Trident Replacement — Maintain nuclear deterrent beyond existing system - 14 Mar 2007 at 18:53 - Division No. 78

The majority of MPs voted for the motion:[1]

  • This House
  • supports the Government's decisions, as set out in the White Paper The Future of the United Kingdom's Nuclear Deterrent (Cm 6994),[2] to take the steps necessary to maintain the UK's minimum strategic nuclear deterrent beyond the life of the existing system and to take further steps towards meeting the UK's disarmament responsibilities under Article VI of the Non-Proliferation Treaty.[3]

This followed a previous vote against asserting that the case was "not yet proven",[4] and was recognized as Parliamentary authorization for the development of a new generation of submarines and launch vehicles for the deployment of ballistic nuclear weapons against targets unknown.[5][6]

Difference in Votes - sorted by name

MPs for which their vote on Motion (a) differed from their inverted vote on Motion (b). You can also see just opposite votes between these two divisions, or simply all the votes.

Sort by: Name | Constituency | Party | Vote (a) | Vote (b)

NameConstituencyPartyVote (a)Vote (b)
Michael AncramDevizesConaye absent
Karen BuckRegent's Park and Kensington NorthLabaye absent
Dawn ButlerBrent SouthLabno no
Colin ChallenMorley and RothwellLabno no
Charles ClarkeNorwich SouthLabaye absent
John CummingsEasingtonLabaye absent
Janet DeanBurtonLabaye absent
Mark DurkanFoyleSDLPabsent no
Clive EffordElthamLabaye absent
Jeff EnnisBarnsley East and MexboroughLabaye both
Nigel GriffithsEdinburgh SouthLabno no
Patrick HallBedfordLabno no
Michael HowardFolkestone and HytheConabsent aye
Brian IddonBolton South EastLababsent aye
Eric IllsleyBarnsley CentralLabaye aye
Andrew LoveEdmontonLababsent aye
Fiona MactaggartSloughLabno absent
Judy MallaberAmber ValleyLabno absent
Robert Marshall-AndrewsMedwayLabaye absent
Jim McGovernDundee WestLabno no
Austin MitchellGreat GrimsbyLabaye absent
George MudieLeeds EastLabaye absent
Denis MurphyWansbeckLabaye absent
Gwyn ProsserDoverLababsent no
Chris RuaneVale of ClwydLab (PPS)aye absent
Howard StoateDartfordLabaye aye
Emily ThornberryIslington South and FinsburyLababsent no
Mark ToddSouth DerbyshireLabno absent
Alan WhiteheadSouthampton, TestLabno absent
Rob WilsonReading EastConaye absent
Sammy WilsonEast AntrimDUPno absent

Division Similarity Ratio

The measure of similarity between these two divisions is a calculation based on a comparison of their votes.

There were 646 MPs who could have voted in both of these divisions, and 7 voted the same way, with 559 voting in opposite ways. There were 56 MPs who didn't vote in either division, and 24 who voted in only one of them.

We invert the vote on the second division if it makes the distance closer (since the meaning of 'Aye' and 'No' are often interchangeable depending on how the question was put). In this case, they line up on opposite sides. An 's vote in in only one of the divisions contributes a factor of 0.2 to the distance. The calculation runs as follows:

ratio =
[same-votes]
([same-votes] + [differing-votes] + 0.2x[abstain-in-one])
=
559
(559 + 7 + 0.2x24)
=
559
570.8
= 0.979 = 97.9 %.


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