Comparison of Divisions: Iraq — Declaration of War — 18 Mar 2003 at 22:00 with Division No. 117 on the same day at 21:15

(Swap the two divisions around).

Vote (a) : Iraq — Declaration of War - 18 Mar 2003 at 22:00 - Division No. 118

The motion voted through by a majority of MPs agreed that the Government "should use all means necessary to ensure the disarmament of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction".[1]

This resulted in the United Kingdom joining the United States led invasion of Iraq two days later.[2]

A proposed change to this motion saying that This House "believes that the case for war against Iraq has not yet been established" had just been voted down.[3] A number of MPs voted in one and not the other, or voted inconsistently.[4] Earlier in the year, during the build-up to war, there had been three other votes in favour of the Government policy.[5]

The (unusually long - please scroll down for votes) motion itself read:[6]

  • This House
  • notes its decisions of 25th November 2002[7] and 26th February 2003[8] to endorse UN Security Council Resolution 1441;[9]
  • recognises that Iraq's weapons of mass destruction and long range missiles, and its continuing non-compliance with Security Council Resolutions, pose a threat to international peace and security;
  • notes that in the 130 days since Resolution 1441 was adopted Iraq has not co-operated actively, unconditionally and immediately with the weapons inspectors, and has rejected the final opportunity to comply and is in further material breach of its obligations under successive mandatory UN Security Council Resolutions;
  • regrets that despite sustained diplomatic effort by Her Majesty's Government it has not proved possible to secure a second Resolution in the UN because one Permanent Member of the Security Council made plain in public its intention to use its veto whatever the circumstances;
  • notes the opinion of the Attorney General that, Iraq having failed to comply and Iraq being at the time of Resolution 1441 and continuing to be in material breach, the authority to use force under Resolution 678[10] has revived and so continues today;
  • believes that the United Kingdom must uphold the authority of the United Nations as set out in Resolution 1441 and many Resolutions preceding it, and therefore supports the decision of Her Majesty's Government that the United Kingdom should use all means necessary to ensure the disarmament of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction;
  • offers wholehearted support to the men and women of Her Majesty's Armed Forces now on duty in the Middle East;
  • in the event of military operations requires that, on an urgent basis, the United Kingdom should seek a new Security Council Resolution that would affirm Iraq's territorial integrity, ensure rapid delivery of humanitarian relief, allow for the earliest possible lifting of UN sanctions, an international reconstruction programme, and the use of all oil revenues for the benefit of the Iraqi people and endorse an appropriate post-conflict administration for Iraq, leading to a representative government which upholds human rights and the rule of law for all Iraqis; and
  • also welcomes the imminent publication of the Quartet's roadmap[11] as a significant step to bringing a just and lasting peace settlement between Israelis and Palestinians and for the wider Middle East region, and endorses the role of Her Majesty's Government in actively working for peace between Israel and Palestine.

References:

Vote (b) : Iraq — Case for war not established — rejected - 18 Mar 2003 at 21:15 - Division No. 117

The majority of MPs voted against making a change to the motion before Parliament that declared war on Iraq. The intact motion for war was voted through immediately after this amendment was rejected.[1]

The change would have been to replace the sections of the motion which read:[2]

  • This House...
  • notes that in the 130 days since Resolution 1441 was adopted Iraq has not co-operated actively, unconditionally and immediately with the weapons inspectors, and has rejected the final opportunity to comply and is in further material breach of its obligations under successive mandatory UN Security Council Resolutions;
  • regrets that despite sustained diplomatic effort by Her Majesty's Government it has not proved possible to secure a second Resolution in the UN because one Permanent Member of the Security Council made plain in public its intention to use its veto whatever the circumstances;
  • notes the opinion of the Attorney General that, Iraq having failed to comply and Iraq being at the time of Resolution 1441 and continuing to be in material breach, the authority to use force under Resolution 678[10] has revived and so continues today;
  • believes that the United Kingdom must uphold the authority of the United Nations as set out in Resolution 1441 and many Resolutions preceding it, and therefore supports the decision of Her Majesty's Government that the United Kingdom should use all means necessary to ensure the disarmament of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction;
  • offers wholehearted support to the men and women of Her Majesty's Armed Forces now on duty in the Middle East;

with:

  • This House...
  • believes that the case for war against Iraq has not yet been established, especially given the absence of specific United Nations authorisation; but,
  • in the event that hostilities do commence, pledges its total support for the British forces engaged in the Middle East, expresses its admiration for their courage, skill and devotion to duty, and hopes that their tasks will be swiftly concluded with minimal casualties on all sides.

This was one of five major Parliamentary votes for war before the invasion.[3]

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Difference in Votes - sorted by party

MPs for which their vote on Motion (a) differed from their inverted vote on Motion (b). You can also see just opposite votes between these two divisions, or simply all the votes.

Sort by: Name | Constituency | Party | Vote (a) | Vote (b)

NameConstituencyPartyVote (a)Vote (b)
Peter AinsworthEast SurreyConaye aye
John GummerSuffolk CoastalCon (front bench)aye aye
John HoramOrpingtonConaye aye
Geoffrey Clifton-BrownCotswoldCon (front bench)aye absent
Anthony SteenTotnesConaye absent
Peter TapsellLouth and HorncastleConaye absent
Mr Teddy TaylorRochford and Southend EastConaye absent
Andrew TyrieChichesterCon (front bench)aye absent
Tony BaldryBanburyCon (front bench)absent aye
John BaronBillericayConabsent aye
Kenneth ClarkeRushcliffeCon (front bench)absent aye
Edward LeighGainsboroughCon (front bench)absent aye
Humfrey MalinsWokingConabsent aye
Andrew MurrisonWestburyCon (front bench)absent aye
Mr Richard PageSouth West HertfordshireConabsent aye
Mr Jonathan SayeedMid Bedfordshirewhilst Conabsent aye
Ian TaylorEsher and WaltonConabsent aye
Andrew TurnerIsle of WightCon (front bench)absent aye
Angela BrowningTiverton and HonitonCon (front bench)absent no
Frank CookStockton NorthLabaye aye
Roger GodsiffBirmingham, Sparkbrook and Small HeathLabaye aye
Eric IllsleyBarnsley CentralLabaye aye
Eric MartlewCarlisleLabaye aye
Mr Tony McWalterHemel HempsteadLabaye aye
John RobertsonGlasgow AnnieslandLab (minister)aye aye
Brian H DonohoeCunninghame SouthLab (minister)aye absent
Paul FarrellyNewcastle-under-LymeLab (minister)aye absent
Andy ReedLoughboroughLabaye absent
Mark TamiAlyn and DeesideLab (minister)aye absent
Mr Brian WhiteNorth East Milton KeynesLabaye absent
Anne BeggAberdeen SouthLab (minister)no absent
Joe BentonBootleLab (minister)absent aye
Kevin BrennanCardiff WestLab (minister)absent aye
Karen BuckRegent's Park and Kensington NorthLab (minister)absent aye
Richard BurdenBirmingham, NorthfieldLab (minister)absent aye
Tom ClarkeCoatbridge and ChrystonLababsent aye
Mr Iain ColemanHammersmith and FulhamLababsent aye
Mr Tom CoxTootingLababsent aye
Mrs Valerie DaveyBristol WestLababsent aye
Mr Denzil DaviesLlanelliLababsent aye
Parmjit DhandaGloucesterLababsent aye
Frank DobsonHolborn and St PancrasLababsent aye
Frank DoranAberdeen CentralLababsent aye
David DrewStroudLab (minister)absent aye
Mr Huw EdwardsMonmouthLababsent aye
Bill EtheringtonSunderland NorthLababsent aye
Hywel FrancisAberavonLab (minister)absent aye
Ian GibsonNorwich NorthLababsent aye
Mr Win GriffithsBridgendLababsent aye
Patrick HallBedfordLababsent aye
Fabian HamiltonLeeds North EastLab (minister)absent aye
Dai HavardMerthyr Tydfil and RhymneyLab (minister)absent aye
Stephen HepburnJarrowLababsent aye
Jimmy HoodClydesdaleLab (minister)absent aye
Joan HumbleBlackpool North and FleetwoodLababsent aye
Brian IddonBolton South EastLababsent aye
Mrs Helen JacksonSheffield, HillsboroughLababsent aye
Martyn JonesClwyd SouthLababsent aye
David KidneyStaffordLababsent aye
David LepperBrighton, PavilionLababsent aye
Ian LucasWrexhamLab (minister)absent aye
Chris MullinSunderland SouthLababsent aye
Denis MurphyWansbeckLababsent aye
Doug NaysmithBristol North WestLababsent aye
Edward O'HaraKnowsley SouthLababsent aye
Mrs Diana OrganForest of DeanLababsent aye
Albert OwenYnys MônLab (minister)absent aye
Mr Peter PikeBurnleyLababsent aye
Mr Kerry PollardSt AlbansLababsent aye
Ken PurchaseWolverhampton North EastLababsent aye
Joan RuddockLewisham, DeptfordLababsent aye
Martin SalterReading WestLababsent aye
Ms Debra ShipleyStourbridgeLababsent aye
Paul TruswellPudseyLababsent aye
Mr Bill TynanHamilton SouthLababsent aye
Alan WhiteheadSouthampton, TestLababsent aye
Alan WilliamsSwansea WestLababsent aye
David WrightTelfordLab (minister)absent aye
Tony WrightCannock ChaseLababsent aye
Derek WyattSittingbourne and SheppeyLababsent aye
Russell BrownDumfriesLab (minister)absent no
James PlaskittWarwick and LeamingtonLababsent no
Mr John BurnettTorridge and West DevonLDemabsent aye

Division Similarity Ratio

The measure of similarity between these two divisions is a calculation based on a comparison of their votes.

There were 659 MPs who could have voted in both of these divisions, and 9 voted the same way, with 545 voting in opposite ways. There were 31 MPs who didn't vote in either division, and 74 who voted in only one of them.

We invert the vote on the second division if it makes the distance closer (since the meaning of 'Aye' and 'No' are often interchangeable depending on how the question was put). In this case, they line up on opposite sides. An 's vote in in only one of the divisions contributes a factor of 0.2 to the distance. The calculation runs as follows:

ratio =
[same-votes]
([same-votes] + [differing-votes] + 0.2x[abstain-in-one])
=
545
(545 + 9 + 0.2x74)
=
545
568.8
= 0.958 = 95.8 %.


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