Comparison of Divisions: Iraq — Case for war not established — rejected — 18 Mar 2003 at 21:15 with Division No. 118 on the same day at 22:00

(Swap the two divisions around).

Vote (a) : Iraq — Case for war not established — rejected - 18 Mar 2003 at 21:15 - Division No. 117

The majority of MPs voted against making a change to the motion before Parliament that declared war on Iraq. The intact motion for war was voted through immediately after this amendment was rejected.[1]

The change would have been to replace the sections of the motion which read:[2]

  • This House...
  • notes that in the 130 days since Resolution 1441 was adopted Iraq has not co-operated actively, unconditionally and immediately with the weapons inspectors, and has rejected the final opportunity to comply and is in further material breach of its obligations under successive mandatory UN Security Council Resolutions;
  • regrets that despite sustained diplomatic effort by Her Majesty's Government it has not proved possible to secure a second Resolution in the UN because one Permanent Member of the Security Council made plain in public its intention to use its veto whatever the circumstances;
  • notes the opinion of the Attorney General that, Iraq having failed to comply and Iraq being at the time of Resolution 1441 and continuing to be in material breach, the authority to use force under Resolution 678[10] has revived and so continues today;
  • believes that the United Kingdom must uphold the authority of the United Nations as set out in Resolution 1441 and many Resolutions preceding it, and therefore supports the decision of Her Majesty's Government that the United Kingdom should use all means necessary to ensure the disarmament of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction;
  • offers wholehearted support to the men and women of Her Majesty's Armed Forces now on duty in the Middle East;

with:

  • This House...
  • believes that the case for war against Iraq has not yet been established, especially given the absence of specific United Nations authorisation; but,
  • in the event that hostilities do commence, pledges its total support for the British forces engaged in the Middle East, expresses its admiration for their courage, skill and devotion to duty, and hopes that their tasks will be swiftly concluded with minimal casualties on all sides.

This was one of five major Parliamentary votes for war before the invasion.[3]

Vote (b) : Iraq — Declaration of War - 18 Mar 2003 at 22:00 - Division No. 118

The motion voted through by a majority of MPs agreed that the Government "should use all means necessary to ensure the disarmament of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction".[1]

This resulted in the United Kingdom joining the United States led invasion of Iraq two days later.[2]

A proposed change to this motion saying that This House "believes that the case for war against Iraq has not yet been established" had just been voted down.[3] A number of MPs voted in one and not the other, or voted inconsistently.[4] Earlier in the year, during the build-up to war, there had been three other votes in favour of the Government policy.[5]

The (unusually long - please scroll down for votes) motion itself read:[6]

  • This House
  • notes its decisions of 25th November 2002[7] and 26th February 2003[8] to endorse UN Security Council Resolution 1441;[9]
  • recognises that Iraq's weapons of mass destruction and long range missiles, and its continuing non-compliance with Security Council Resolutions, pose a threat to international peace and security;
  • notes that in the 130 days since Resolution 1441 was adopted Iraq has not co-operated actively, unconditionally and immediately with the weapons inspectors, and has rejected the final opportunity to comply and is in further material breach of its obligations under successive mandatory UN Security Council Resolutions;
  • regrets that despite sustained diplomatic effort by Her Majesty's Government it has not proved possible to secure a second Resolution in the UN because one Permanent Member of the Security Council made plain in public its intention to use its veto whatever the circumstances;
  • notes the opinion of the Attorney General that, Iraq having failed to comply and Iraq being at the time of Resolution 1441 and continuing to be in material breach, the authority to use force under Resolution 678[10] has revived and so continues today;
  • believes that the United Kingdom must uphold the authority of the United Nations as set out in Resolution 1441 and many Resolutions preceding it, and therefore supports the decision of Her Majesty's Government that the United Kingdom should use all means necessary to ensure the disarmament of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction;
  • offers wholehearted support to the men and women of Her Majesty's Armed Forces now on duty in the Middle East;
  • in the event of military operations requires that, on an urgent basis, the United Kingdom should seek a new Security Council Resolution that would affirm Iraq's territorial integrity, ensure rapid delivery of humanitarian relief, allow for the earliest possible lifting of UN sanctions, an international reconstruction programme, and the use of all oil revenues for the benefit of the Iraqi people and endorse an appropriate post-conflict administration for Iraq, leading to a representative government which upholds human rights and the rule of law for all Iraqis; and
  • also welcomes the imminent publication of the Quartet's roadmap[11] as a significant step to bringing a just and lasting peace settlement between Israelis and Palestinians and for the wider Middle East region, and endorses the role of Her Majesty's Government in actively working for peace between Israel and Palestine.

References:

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Difference in Votes - sorted by party

MPs for which their vote on Motion (a) differed from their inverted vote on Motion (b). You can also see just opposite votes between these two divisions, or simply all the votes.

Sort by: Name | Constituency | Party | Vote (a) | Vote (b)

NameConstituencyPartyVote (a)Vote (b)
Peter AinsworthEast SurreyConaye aye
John GummerSuffolk CoastalCon (front bench)aye aye
John HoramOrpingtonConaye aye
Tony BaldryBanburyCon (front bench)aye absent
John BaronBillericayConaye absent
Kenneth ClarkeRushcliffeCon (front bench)aye absent
Edward LeighGainsboroughCon (front bench)aye absent
Humfrey MalinsWokingConaye absent
Andrew MurrisonWestburyCon (front bench)aye absent
Mr Richard PageSouth West HertfordshireConaye absent
Mr Jonathan SayeedMid Bedfordshirewhilst Conaye absent
Ian TaylorEsher and WaltonConaye absent
Andrew TurnerIsle of WightCon (front bench)aye absent
Angela BrowningTiverton and HonitonCon (front bench)no absent
Geoffrey Clifton-BrownCotswoldCon (front bench)absent aye
Anthony SteenTotnesConabsent aye
Peter TapsellLouth and HorncastleConabsent aye
Mr Teddy TaylorRochford and Southend EastConabsent aye
Andrew TyrieChichesterCon (front bench)absent aye
Frank CookStockton NorthLabaye aye
Roger GodsiffBirmingham, Sparkbrook and Small HeathLabaye aye
Eric IllsleyBarnsley CentralLabaye aye
Eric MartlewCarlisleLabaye aye
Mr Tony McWalterHemel HempsteadLabaye aye
John RobertsonGlasgow AnnieslandLab (minister)aye aye
Joe BentonBootleLab (minister)aye absent
Kevin BrennanCardiff WestLab (minister)aye absent
Karen BuckRegent's Park and Kensington NorthLab (minister)aye absent
Richard BurdenBirmingham, NorthfieldLab (minister)aye absent
Tom ClarkeCoatbridge and ChrystonLabaye absent
Mr Iain ColemanHammersmith and FulhamLabaye absent
Mr Tom CoxTootingLabaye absent
Mrs Valerie DaveyBristol WestLabaye absent
Mr Denzil DaviesLlanelliLabaye absent
Parmjit DhandaGloucesterLabaye absent
Frank DobsonHolborn and St PancrasLabaye absent
Frank DoranAberdeen CentralLabaye absent
David DrewStroudLab (minister)aye absent
Mr Huw EdwardsMonmouthLabaye absent
Bill EtheringtonSunderland NorthLabaye absent
Hywel FrancisAberavonLab (minister)aye absent
Ian GibsonNorwich NorthLabaye absent
Mr Win GriffithsBridgendLabaye absent
Patrick HallBedfordLabaye absent
Fabian HamiltonLeeds North EastLab (minister)aye absent
Dai HavardMerthyr Tydfil and RhymneyLab (minister)aye absent
Stephen HepburnJarrowLabaye absent
Jimmy HoodClydesdaleLab (minister)aye absent
Joan HumbleBlackpool North and FleetwoodLabaye absent
Brian IddonBolton South EastLabaye absent
Mrs Helen JacksonSheffield, HillsboroughLabaye absent
Martyn JonesClwyd SouthLabaye absent
David KidneyStaffordLabaye absent
David LepperBrighton, PavilionLabaye absent
Ian LucasWrexhamLab (minister)aye absent
Chris MullinSunderland SouthLabaye absent
Denis MurphyWansbeckLabaye absent
Doug NaysmithBristol North WestLabaye absent
Edward O'HaraKnowsley SouthLabaye absent
Mrs Diana OrganForest of DeanLabaye absent
Albert OwenYnys MônLab (minister)aye absent
Mr Peter PikeBurnleyLabaye absent
Mr Kerry PollardSt AlbansLabaye absent
Ken PurchaseWolverhampton North EastLabaye absent
Joan RuddockLewisham, DeptfordLabaye absent
Martin SalterReading WestLabaye absent
Ms Debra ShipleyStourbridgeLabaye absent
Paul TruswellPudseyLabaye absent
Mr Bill TynanHamilton SouthLabaye absent
Alan WhiteheadSouthampton, TestLabaye absent
Alan WilliamsSwansea WestLabaye absent
David WrightTelfordLab (minister)aye absent
Tony WrightCannock ChaseLabaye absent
Derek WyattSittingbourne and SheppeyLabaye absent
Russell BrownDumfriesLab (minister)no absent
James PlaskittWarwick and LeamingtonLabno absent
Brian H DonohoeCunninghame SouthLab (minister)absent aye
Paul FarrellyNewcastle-under-LymeLab (minister)absent aye
Andy ReedLoughboroughLababsent aye
Mark TamiAlyn and DeesideLab (minister)absent aye
Mr Brian WhiteNorth East Milton KeynesLababsent aye
Anne BeggAberdeen SouthLab (minister)absent no
Mr John BurnettTorridge and West DevonLDemaye absent

Division Similarity Ratio

The measure of similarity between these two divisions is a calculation based on a comparison of their votes.

There were 659 MPs who could have voted in both of these divisions, and 9 voted the same way, with 545 voting in opposite ways. There were 31 MPs who didn't vote in either division, and 74 who voted in only one of them.

We invert the vote on the second division if it makes the distance closer (since the meaning of 'Aye' and 'No' are often interchangeable depending on how the question was put). In this case, they line up on opposite sides. An 's vote in in only one of the divisions contributes a factor of 0.2 to the distance. The calculation runs as follows:

ratio =
[same-votes]
([same-votes] + [differing-votes] + 0.2x[abstain-in-one])
=
545
(545 + 9 + 0.2x74)
=
545
568.8
= 0.958 = 95.8 %.


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